Mississippi actually had pretty messy redistricting back in 2002, when the state lost a district. The problem for the Democrats is that their options are limited since 1 Black-Majority district is required, leaving the other 3 mostly white (and heavily Republican). But the Democrats have been able to break through and win 2 strongly Republican districts, surprisingly giving them a 3-1 advantage. It looks like the Republicans still have no hope in the 4th, the most Republican district in the state, but the 1st certainly makes for an enticing target.
MS-01 (Northern MS-Tupelo, Southaven, Columbus) Rep. Travis Childers-D. 2008 Vote: McCain 62%-38%.
When Rep. Roger Wicker (R) was appointed to the Senate seat vacated by Trent Lott in 2008, no one figured the GOP would have any trouble holding this heavily Republican seat. But Childers ran as a conservative Democrat and bested suburbanite Greg Davis in the usually Republican rural areas en route to a 54%-46% win in the Special Election, followed by a 54%-44% win in November for the full term. But in a district McCain won by almost 25 points, Childers is an obvious target, and the GOP has quickly coalesced around State Sen. Alan Nunelee. A GOP takeover of the House probably has to include this seat.
SLIGHT ADVANTAGE FOR CHILDERS.
MS-02 (Western MS-Jackson, Vicksburg, Tunica) Rep. Bennie Thompson-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 66%-34%.
The 2nd district is the state's black-majority CD, clocking in at 64% black as of the 2000 census. Thompson has had no problem holding this seat since he first won it in a 1993 Special Election. Three Republicans are running: Republican George Bailey, security consultant Bill Marcy, and Richard Cook, who lost 69%-31% to Thompson in 2008.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR THOMPSON.
MS-03 (Central MS-Part Of Jackson, Pearl, Meridian) Rep. Gregg Harper-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 62%-38%.
The GOP lost a lot of seats because of retiring members in 2008, but they knew they wouldn't have to sweat much over Rep. Chip Pickering's retirement in this district. Harper, the Fmr. Chair of the Rankin County Republican Party, easily held the seat 57%-39% and seems likely to hold the seat for a long time if he wants it. Democrat Joel Gill, who lost to Harper in 2008, will try again, as will frequent candidate Shawn O'Hara.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR HARPER.
MS-04 (Southern MS-Biloxi, Gulfport, Hattiesburg) Rep. Gene Taylor-D. 2008 Vote: McCain 68%-32%.
The 4th is the whitest and most Republican district in Mississippi, giving 68% to Bush in 2004 and McCain in 2008. But Taylor, who has held this seat since Trent Lott gave it up in 1989, is perhaps the most conservative Democrat in the House, and he's never been seriously challenged. Even in a very Republican District in a Republican year with a quality opponent in State Rep. Steve Palazzo, he looks untouchable.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR TAYLOR.
6 comments:
With all due respect, Joe Tegerdine in District 4 is talking about true conservative issues. He is talking about representing the district in Washington, not representing Washington to the district as it currently stands.
The current occupant of the House seat in District 4 voted for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, and Rangel as head of Ways and Means. How's that working out for us, District 4?
Joe Tegerdine represents a break with the failed DC policies of government knows best. We deserve better, and Joe is a key part of the solution.
Thats right www.Joetegerdine.com is the Man!
In the past I voted for the incumbant. But not this time I am for Joe Tegerdine. Get to know him and you will like him.
Taylor has never had any serious competition before, but Joe Tea Party is making a serious challange.
Bennie Thompson might be the Emperor, but he might not have any clothes on. The republicans in the district are fighting mad after the healthcare bill. If the all come out to vote like is expected than all they need is is 8 percent Dems. Keep and eye on Bill Marcy who is a season candidate. BillMarcyForCongress.com
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