Democrats had complete control of redistricting in California in 2000, and in such a Democratic state, you would have expected them to put the screws to Republicans. But they didn't, perhaps to play it safe, perhaps because they had several freshman members that year, although if they had known what this decade was going to look like they may have been more aggressive. But the result was an incumbent-protection map, and over the course of the entire decade, only 1 of the 53 seats has changed partisan hands, when the Democrats gained the 11th district in 2006. Even in a strong Republican year, there aren't many obvious places where the GOP can put a dent in the Democrats' 34-19 majority, and they still have to play a bit of defense in the 3rd, 44th, and 45th.
CA-01 (Eureka, Napa, Davis) Rep. Mike Thompson-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 66%-32%.
The 1st takes in much of the coast of California north of the Bay Area, and it's solidly Democratic. Thompson has never won by by less than 29 points in any of his six terms, including a 2008 re-election of 68%-23%. Republican businessman Zane Starkwolf, on the wrong end of that 2008 beatdown, is running again this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR THOMPSON.
CA-02 (Redding, Chico) Rep. Wally Herger-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 55%-43%.
Herger has easily held this north-central California seat since 1987, facing minimal opposition in this heavily Republican district. He was re-elected 58%-42% in 2008, which is actually the closest race he ever faced. Attorney Jim Reed, who ran for the Superior Court in 2008, will be the Democratic nominee this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR HERGER.
CA-03 (Sacramento suburbs-Elk Grove, Folsom, Fair Oaks) Rep. Dan Lungren-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 49.30-48.82%.
There was a time when Dan Lungren was considered a rising star: after winning several terms in the House in the 80s, he was elected Attorney General in 1990 and re-elected by a huge margin in 1994, setting himself up to run for Governor in 1998. But he got blasted 58%-38% by Gray Davis, before winning here as an open seat in suburban Sacramento in 2004. But he hasn't entrenched himself, winning by only 49%-44% in 2008, while Obama was able to carry this traditional Republican stronghold. Given that weak performance, Lungren looks like one of the few Republican incumbents in serious trouble this year. Physician Ami Bera (D) has been raising a ton of money, actually ending 2009 with more money than Lungren, giving him a legitimate chance to flip this seat.
SLIGHT ADVANTAGE FOR LUNGREN.
CA-04 (NE California-Rocklin, Roseville, South Lake Tahoe) Rep. Tom McClintock-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 54%-44%.
This is rock-solid Republican territory, but the GOP had two very tough races here in 2006 due to the scandals of then-Rep. John Doolittle and then in 2008 when McClintock moved hundreds of miles to run for the open seat. But with McClintock running for re-election and without any of the verbal gaffes many expected, he looks safe for a 2nd term against computer programmer Clint Curtis.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR McCLINTOCK.
CA-05 (Sacramento) Rep. Doris Matsui-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 70%-28%.
Matsui ran for this seat as a Special Election in early 2005 after her husband, Rep. Bob Matsui, passed away. This district is very diverse and heavily Democratic, making Matsui a huge favorite for another term against realtor Paul Smith (R).
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR MATSUI.
CA-06 (Santa Rosa, San Rafael) Rep. Lynn Woolsey-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 76%-22%.
The 6th is home to the very affluent, very liberal suburbs north of the Bay Area, connected to San Francisco via the Golden Gate Bridge. Two Republicans are running against Woolsey, one of the most liberal Democrats in the House: minister Peter Romanowsky and manufacturing executive Jim Judd.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR WOOLSEY.
CA-07 (Richmond, Martinez, Vallejo) Rep. George Miller-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 72%-27%.
Miller is one of the most senior Democrats in the House, as the liberal stalwart was first elected to this seat in 1974 at the age of 29. Since he was first elected, he has never won less than 60% of the vote, and it shouldn't be any different this year against 2008 nominee Roger Petersen, who lost that year 73%-22%.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR MILLER.
CA-08 (San Francisco) Rep. Nancy Pelosi-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 85%-12%.
We now get to the Speaker's district, and after the previous Democratic House Speaker, Tom Foley, lost his House seat in 1994, the Democrats made very, very sure that wouldn't happen again. Pelosi's district is as Democratic as its reputation, making her safe against either activist John Dennis or interior designer Dana Walsh, who won only 10% of the vote as the Republican nominee in 2008.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR PELOSI.
CA-09 (Oakland, Berkley, Albany) Rep. Barbara Lee-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 88%-10%.
The 9th is the most Democratic district in California, a mix of extremely diverse Oakland and the legendarily liberal UC Berkley campus. Lee is an excellent match for the district then, as she was the only member of the House to vote against military action in Afghanistan in 2001. Lee has no Republican opponent this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR LEE.
CA-10 (East Bay Area-Pleasant Hill, Walnut Creek, Antioch) Rep. John Garamendi-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 65%-33%.
The 10th is heavily Democratic, but just a little bit less so than some of its neighbors. That allowed Garamendi, then the Lieutenant Governor of California, to be held to a close-ish 53%-43% win in a November 2009 Special Election for this seat. Businessman Mark Loos, who lost the Republican Primary for the Special Election last year, will give it another try this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR GARAMENDI.
CA-11 (Part Of Stockton, Lodi, San Ramon) Rep. Jerry McNerney-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 54%-44%.
Finally we get to a competitive district, as the 11th in the Central Valley is a classic swing district. Bush won the district by a comfortable 9 points in 2004, but Obama flipped that around to a 10-point victory in 2008. In between, McNerney took advantage of the Democratic wave and the scandals surrounding then-Rep. Richard Pombo to pick up this seat for the Democrats in 2006. He was re-elected by a solid but not overwhelming 56%-44% in 2008, and so he is one of the very few Democrats the GOP can realistically hope to target in California. Attorney David Harmer, who ran the surprisingly competitive race in the far more Democratic 10th last year, is running in the 11th this year, but businessman Brad Goehring has also been raising plenty of money.
STRONG ADVANTAGE FOR McNERNEY.
CA-12 (Daly City, South San Francisco, San Mateo) Rep. Jackie Speier-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 74%-24%.
The 12th had long been represented by Democrat Tom Lantos since 1981, but the Congressman passed away early in 2008. The Democrats weren't concerned about the Special Election in this very Democratic district, and indeed Speier trounced her Republican opponents with 77% of the vote, winning by a similar margin again in November. No Republican has filed in this district this year, so Speier's already got a 2nd full term locked up.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR SPEIER.
CA-13 (Alameda, Hayward, Fremont) Rep. Pete Stark-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 74%-24%.
Stark is one of the most outspoken liberals in the House, which makes him a good fit for this district just south of Oakland. Two Republicans are running this year: businessman Forest Baker and IT project manager Luis Garcia.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR STARK.
CA-14 (Silcon Valley-Redwood City, Sunnyvale, Palo Alto) Rep. Anna Eshoo-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 73%-25%.
Since this district was redrawn in the 2002 redistricting, Eshoo hasn't won any less than 68% of the vote in this district that includes Stanford and much of Silicon Valley. The Republicans were unable to get a candidate to run here, leaving Eshoo unopposed for a 10th term in the House.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR ESHOO.
CA-15 (Part of San Jose, Cupertino, Santa Clara) Rep. Mike Honda-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 68%-30%.
This used to be a part of the Bay Area where the GOP could stay competitive, as moderate GOP Rep. Tom Campbell (who is running for Senate this year) represented a district very similar to this from 1995-2001. But when Campbell gave up the seat to run for the Senate in 2000, Honda won the open seat by a comfortable 54%-42%. Since then, however, the district has turned sharply leftward, allowing Honda to win by better than 2:1 in all of his re-elections. Honda is safe for another term this year against one of 3 Republicans: consultant Scott Kirkland, attorney Kevin Gordon, and businessman Don Barich.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR HONDA.
CA-16 (San Jose) Rep. Zoe Lofgren-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 70%-29%.
San Jose is often forgotten about when thinking about important California cities, but it's actually the 3rd largest in the state (ahead of cities like San Francisco, Oakland, Sacramento, and Anaheim). Most of it has been represented since 1995 by the solidly liberal Lofgren, who has never won less than 65% of the vote in any of her races here. This year, the GOP has no candidate challenging Lofgren.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR LOFGREN.
CA-17 (Salinas, Monterrey, Santa Cruz) Rep. Sam Farr-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 72%-26%.
We finally get to the last safely Democratic Bay Area seat, which Farr has held with no real resistance since 1993. And it's more of the same this year, with no Republicans filing in this district.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR FARR.
CA-18 (Modesto, Merced, part of Stockton) Rep. Dennis Cardoza-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 59%-39%.
The old version of this district was Republican-leaning, but redistricters made it more Democratic (and more gerrymandered) to protect then-incumbent Gary Condit. But perhaps that was unnecessary, as Condit lost in the 2002 Democratic Primary to Cardoza, who at one point was Condit's Chief of Staff. And even though Bush ran about even here in 2000 and 2004, Cardoza won by a healthy 52%-43% in 2002, and his moderate voting record has allowed him to win easily since. Two Republicans are challenging Cardoza this year: farmer Mike Berryhill and college student David Lee Buxton.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR CARDOZA.
CA-19 (Part of Fresno, Turlock, Chowchilla) Open, Rep. George Radanovich-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 52%-46%.
This part of the Central Valley is more Republican, and Radanovich has won here with little opposition since he was first elected in 1994. His retirement didn't exactly send the Republicans into panic given the district's strong Republican lean. However, there is a potential pitfall: while State Sen. Jeff Denham and Fmr. Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson are the frontrunners to win the GOP Primary, they are being challenged by Fmr. Rep. Richard Pombo, who was defeated for re-election in the next-door 11th in 2006 in part due to his ties to Jack Abramoff. Pombo would still be favored if he won the Primary, but he would give the Democrats a fighting chance. 3 Democrats are running: retired actor Les Marsden, physician Loraine Goodwin, and real estate consultant John Estrada.
STRONG ADVANTAGE FOR THE REPUBLICANS.
CA-20 (Part of Bakersfield, part of Fresno) Rep. Jim Costa-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 60%-39%.
The 20th is usually Democratic territory, as 63% of its residents are Hispanic and Obama won 60% of the vote here. But Bush did well in the Central Valley in 2004, losing this district only 51%-48%, and Costa struggled to win this as an open seat, ultimately defeating GOP State Sen. Roy Ashburn 54%-46%. But he has compiled the necessary moderate voting record since, and was unopposed in 2006 before winning 74% of the vote in 2008. There is a bit more uncertainly here than usual, given the very high unemployment and water issues in the Central Valley. But the GOP didn't land the big recruit they wanted here, as the 3 Republican candidates are farmer Andy Vidak, Fmr. Clovis School Board Member Richard Lake, and businessman Serfan Quintanar.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR COSTA.
CA-21 (Tulare, Visalia, Clovis) Rep. Devin Nunes-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 56%-42%.
Nunes is one of the youngest members of the House, having first been elected to Congress in 2002 at the age of 29. His district is among the most Republican in the state, so it's not much of a surprise that the Democrats haven't fielded a candidate.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR NUNES.
CA-22 (Bakersfield, part of San Luis Obispo) Rep. Kevin McCarthy-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 60%-38%.
The 22nd is the most Republican district in California, the only one in the state where McCain cleared 60% of the vote. McCarthy first won this seat in 2006 to replace the very influential Bill Thomas, the retiring Chair of the House Ways and Means Committee. McCarthy has picked up where Thomas left off, as he is already the Republican Chief Deputy Whip in only his 2nd term. McCarthy is unopposed this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR McCARTHY.
CA-23 (Oxnard, Santa Barbara, Santa Maria) Rep. Lois Capps-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 66%-32%.
The 23rd is one of the most gerrymandered districts in the country, as it hugs much of the coast from San Luis Opispo through Oxnard, at times little wider than the beach itself. Capps first won this seat in a 1998 Special Election following the death of her husband, Rep. Walter Capps. Count 3 Republicans in the mix to run against Capps in November: insurance agent David Stockdale, businessman John Davidson, and CEO Clark Vandeveter.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR CAPPS.
CA-24 (Thousand Oaks, Simi Valley, Lompoc) Rep. Elton Gallegly-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 51%-48%.
This is the inland, Republican counterpart to the 23rd, which has been represented by Gallegly since 1987. Galllegly almost retired in 2006 citing health concerns, but he ran for re-election and won 62%-38% that year and 58%-42% in 2008. Obama's win here in 2008 was a major surprise in this Republican stronghold (at least symbolically, as it's home to the Reagan Library), but Gallegly's decisive win that year makes him look pretty solid for 2010. 5 Democrats are running this year, including Ventura County Housing Authority Deputy Director Jill Martinez (the 2006 nominee) and nurse Marta Jorgensen (the 2008 nominee).
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR GALLEGLY.
CA-25 (Santa Clarita, Palmdale, Victorville) Rep. Buck McKeon-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 49%-48%.
The 24th and 25th are almost twin districts: both historic Republican strongholds that Obama narrowly carried, and both represented by longtime Republican incumbents. Here, the incumbent is GOP Congressman Buck McKeon, who has represented this area in Congress since 1993. His 58%-42% win over Democratic law office manager Jackie Conaway in 2008 was convincing enough, and if anything that margin is likely to widen as the two square off again this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR McKEON.
CA-26 (Arcadia, Monrovia, Rancho Cucamonga) Rep. David Dreier-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 51%-47%.
The 26th is a shade more Democratic than the 24th and 25th, but Dreier, who has represented this area in Congress since 1981, is very entrenched. Democratic businessman Russ Warner, who lost to Dreier 53%-40% in 2008, will try again this year. Dreier isn't unbeatable, but in a good year for the Republicans, he's probably pretty close to it.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR DREIER.
CA-27 (Sherman Oaks, Northridge, Reseda) Rep. Brad Sherman-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 66%-32%.
We now start to get into the safely Democratic Los Angeles seats. Sherman's west of LA might be the least Democratic of the bunch, even though Obama won here by better than 2:1. Two Republicans are trying this year: rancher Mark Reed and businessman Navraj Singh, who lost to Sherman 68%-25% in 2008.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR SHERMAN.
CA-28 (San Fernando, Van Nuys) Rep. Howard Berman-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 76%-22%.
Berman did have a major advantage in redistricting time: his brother Micheal Berman was the one drawing the lines. Berman was given a safe district (try to pick yourself up off the floor), although he does have two Republican opponents this year in actor Merlin Froyd and Ron Paul activist Jenny Worman.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR BERMAN.
CA-29 (Glendale, Burbank, Pasadena) Rep. Adam Schiff-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 68%-30%.
It's hard to believe that Schiff actually had to beat a Republican incumbent to win this seat, but he did in 2000 by narrowly defeating Republican Jim Rogan in a close and extremely costly race. But it's been easy for him since as the affluent LA suburbs have become almost as Democratic as the city itself, and businessman John Cobert will be his token Republican opposition this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR SCHIFF.
CA-30 (Malibu, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills) Rep. Henry Waxman-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 70%-28%.
Waxman, the powerful Chair of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, has been representing this district that includes much of Hollywood's glitterati since 1975. Surprisingly, the GOP has no shortage of candidates, including engineer Chris Kolski, comedian Ari David, and conservative activist Tony Dolz.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR WAXMAN.
CA-31 (Los Angeles) Rep. Xavier Becerra-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 80%-18%.
The 31st is the only district contained entirely within LA, and combine with the fact that it's 70% Hispanic, and the fact that it's a safely Democratic district isn't hard to guess. Becerra is being challenged this year by technology salesman Stephen Smith.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR BECERRA.
CA-32 (East Los Angeles, El Monte, Covina) Rep. Judy Chu-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 68%-30%.
The 32nd was open last year when Obama tapped Rep. Hilda Solis to be his Labor Secretary. Chu was an easy winner in the Special Election, defeating the similarly named Republican Betty Chu 62%-33%. No Republican has filed to run in November.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR CHU.
CA-33 (Los Angeles) Open, Rep. Diane Watson-D retiring. 2008 Vote: Obama 87%-12%.
This is about as boring as open seat can get, as Watson's district is the most Democratic LA-area seat, and she already has a successor-in-waiting, with state Assembly Speaker Karen Bass running and the obvious frontrunner. 3 Republicans are running: realtor Phil Jennerjahn, attorney James Andion, and Army vet David Crowley, who cobbled together 12% of the vote against Watson in 2008.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
CA-34 (Los Angeles) Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 75%-23%.
This district includes the closest thing to "downtown" LA, and Roybal-Allard, when combined with her father, the late Ed Roybal, has represented parts of this area since 1963. Wayne Miller, who ran for this seat in 2002, may go for the Republican nod again this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR ROYBAL-ALLARD.
CA-35 (Part of Los Angeles, Inglewood) Rep. Maxine Waters-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 84%-14%.
Waters is one of the most outspoken liberals in the House, so this district suits her just fine. No Republican filed in this district this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR WATERS.
CA-36 (Torrance, Manhattan Beach, Redondo Beach) Rep. Jane Harman-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 64%-34%.
The 36th is still solidly Democratic, but this majority-white, affluent district that contains much of coastal Los Angeles County has a very different feel than its neighbors. This district was much more marginal in the 90s-Harman won by just 812 votes in 1994, and the Democrats actually lost this seat in 1998 when Harman ran for Governor. But she came back and narrowly won this seat for the Democrats in 2000, and since redistricting has had little trouble. She'll face either Fmr. TV producer Mattie Fein or GOP activist Pete Kesteron in the fall.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR HARMAN.
CA-37 (Long Beach, Carson, Compton) Rep. Laura Richardson-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 80%-19%.
Richardson won this seat in a 2007 Special Election to replace the late Rep. Juanita Millender-McDonald, defeating her Republican opponent 66%-25%. She had no Republican opponent in 2008, and she's unopposed in the General Election again this year too.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR RICHARDSON.
CA-38 (Part of Los Angeles, Norwalk, Pomona) Rep. Grace Napolitano-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 71%-27%.
The 38th takes in many of the heavily Hispanic areas east of Los Angeles, and as of 2000 the district is 70% Hispanic. Napolitano was unopposed in 2008, and again this year has no GOP opponent.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR NAPOLITANO.
CA-39 (Whittier, Lynwood) Rep. Linda Sanchez-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 65%-32%.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR SANCHEZ.
CA-40 (Westminster, Orange, Fullerton) Rep. Ed Royce-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 51%-47%.
Orange County is a famously Republican stronghold, and the 40th usually mirrors how the overall county votes (McCain won the OC 51%-48% in 2008). Even with McCain's historically weak showing at the top of the ticket, Royce still was re-elected 63%-37% in 2008. Royce has no Democratic opponent this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR ROYCE.
CA-41 (Apple Valley, Highland, Redlands) Rep. Jerry Lewis-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 54%-44%.
Lewis is the senior Republican in California's House delegation, having represented part of the Inland Empire since 1979. He got into some ethical trouble when he was Chair of the House Appropriations Committee, but nothing ever stuck. He is opposed this year by Fontana Adult School Principal Pat Meagher (D).
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR LEWIS.
CA-42 (Chino, Yorba Linda, Mission Viejo) Rep. Gary Miller-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 53%-45%.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR MILLER.
CA-43 (San Bernardino, Ontario, Fontana) Rep. Joe Baca-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 68%-30%.
The only Inland Empire district held by the Democrats, Baca's 43rd district is 58% Hispanic and heavily Democratic. He is unopposed this year for a 7th term in Congress.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR BACA.
CA-44 (Riverside, Corona, San Clemente) Rep. Ken Calvert-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 50%-49%.
SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE FOR CALVERT.
CA-45 (Hemet, Palm Springs, Palm Desert) Rep. Mary Bono Mack-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 51%-47%.
When entertainer-turned-Congressman Sonny Bono was killed in a skiing accident in 1998, his wife Mary easily won the Special Election to replace him. And even though this district has become more Democratic, she has kept a moderate voting record that allowed her to win even in 2008 by a comfortable 58%-42%. But she has arguably her strongest challenger ever this time, as Palm Springs Mayor Steve Pougnet (D) has been raising impressive sums so far, and has a real chance to make this a close race.
STRONG ADVANTAGE FOR BONO MACK.
CA-46 (Rancho Palos Verdes, Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach) Rep. Dana Rohrabacher-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 50%-48%.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR ROHRABACHER.
CA-47 (Anaheim, Santa Ana, Garden Grove) Rep. Loretta Sanchez-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 60%-38%.
The one Democratic enclave in Orange County surrounded by a sea of red, the 47th district takes in the most Hispanic areas of central Orange County; as of the 2000 census it clocked in at 65% Hispanic. Sanchez, the sister of 39th District Rep. Linda Sanchez, has faced little trouble winning re-election since her first win in 1996. But that could change this year, as Assemblyman Van Tran is a credible candidate, and Hispanic turnout tends to be quite poor here in off-year elections. But Tran has a long way to go after Sanchez was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2008.
STRONG ADVANTAGE FOR SANCHEZ.
CA-48 (Irvine, Newport Beach, Tustin) Rep. John Campbell-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 49.47%-48.72%.
Campbell was first elected here in a 2006 Special Election when Chris Cox was appointed to SEC Chairman. Combine Obama's surprising win in what is usually a Republican bastion with the candidacy of Fmr. Irvine Mayor Beth Krom, and it looked like a competitive race was possible this year. But it seems like this district is ready to swing back to the GOP this year, and Campbell has been burying Krom in fundraising.
Strong►OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR CAMPBELL.
CA-49 (Oceanside, Vista, Temecula) Rep. Darell Issa-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 53%-45%.
Issa is the wealthiest member of Congress, with estimates around $250M. Not that he really needs the money in this rock-solid Republican district-he's never won less than 58% of the vote in any of his re-election bids. Management consultant Howard Katz (D) is Issa's challenger this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR ISSA.
CA-50 (Part of San Diego, Carlsbad, Encinitas) Rep. Brian Bilbray-R. 2008 Vote: Obama 51%-47%.
Strong►OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR BILBRAY.
CA-51 (Part of San Diego, Chula Vista) Rep. Bob Filner-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 63%-35%.
Filner's biggest concern in this district would be a Primary challenge from a Hispanic-53% of this district's residents are Hispanic. But Filner has maintained a good relationship with the Hispanic community, and he looks safe in both the Primary and General. Iraq War vet Nick Popaditch is going to be the Republican nominee this year.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR FILNER.
CA-52 (San Diego suburbs-El Cajon, La Mesa, Spring Valley) Rep. Duncan Hunter, Jr.-R. 2008 Vote: McCain 53%-45%.
Longtime Rep. Duncan Hunter gave up his longtime House seat in 2008, deciding to make a quixotic run for President. But his son, Duncan D. Hunter, ran for his dad's House seat and faced minimal resistance in both the Primary and General in this heavily Republican district. No Democrat filed to run in this district, so perhaps the younger Hunter is settling to a long House career like his father had.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR HUNTER.
CA-53 (San Diego) Rep. Susan Davis-D. 2008 Vote: Obama 68%-30%.
The 53rd includes much of downtown San Diego, and while it's not quite as Democratic as the LA or Bay Area districts, it's still very safe for Davis. She does have several Republicans who have filed to run against her, among them businessman Matt Freidman, 2008 nominee Michael Crimmins, and retired Navy pilot Randy Arrington.
OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGE FOR DAVIS.
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