Tulchin Research (D) CA-44 Poll conducted 1/28-2/1 of 400 LVs, pdf here:
Rep. Ken Calvert (R) 49%
2008 Nominee Bill Hedrick (D) 35%
Caveat: this poll was released by Hedrick's campaign. These two squared off in 2008 in a race that Calvert was expected to win fairly easily, but instead he managed to escape by just a 51%-49% margin. The 44th usually favors the Republicans pretty solidly, but Calvert's had some personal and financial issues that have caused him to have much tougher races than one would expect. Hedrick also has disappointed on the fundraising front, which is an area he struggled with badly in 2008 but many Democrats hoped would improve after his near-miss.
SLIGHT ADVANTAGE FOR CALVERT.
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