Moore Methods (D) CA-GOV Dem. Primary: Big Lead For Brown

Moore Methods (D) California Poll conducted 6/20-6/23 of 525 Democrats:

Attorney General Jerry Brown 46%
San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom 26%

Moore is a Democratic pollster, but this poll was not commisioned by either candidate. After Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa took his name out of the Democratic field last week, the two men left standing on the Democratic side are Brown and Newsom. And this poll indicates what has been suspected for quite some time, that Brown starts out as a strong favorite. The crosstabs are even better for Brown than the crosstabs would indicate, as he leads 54%-20% among voters 60+, who are much more likely to vote in a midterm primary than younger voters. Geography does give Newsom some hope, especially if he can bring up his name ID. In the Bay Area, where both candidates have comparable name ID, Newsom actually leads 41%-37%, but he gets clobbered 46%-24% in Los Angeles and 52%-23% in the rest of the state. The General Election currently rates as a SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE FOR THE DEMOCRATS.