SurveyUSA New Mexico Poll conducted 9/29-9/30 of 698 LVs:
Obama 52%
McCain 44%
Along with Iowa, New Mexico continues to be the most likely Bush states to flip to Obama this year. McCain can afford losses in NM & IA, but he can't afford to lose any other Bush states, which have in recent days shifted into Obama's column. Only 79% of Democrats back Obama here, but McCain only gets 85% of Republicans, and he trails by 16 among Independents.
SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE FOR OBAMA.
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