Wednesday, October 22, 2008

M-D WY-AL: Trauner Hanging Tough

Mason-Dixon Wyoming Poll conducted 10/13-10/14 of 625 RVs:

2006 Nominee Gary Trauner (D) 44%
Treasurer Cynthia Lummis (R) 43%

I would've expected Lummis to have pulled away by now after winning a tough priamry against businessman and rancher Mark Gordon back in August. But it looks like the open-seat contest to replace retiring Rep. Barbara Cubin (R) remains close. Truaner has a solid +10 favorable rating, while Lummis is at just +1, perhaps a result of that tough GOP primary. I still expect the undecideds (which amount to 13% in this poll) to tilt heavily towards Lummis by Election Day, and she remains the favorite, if not an overwhelming one.

SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE FOR LUMMIS.

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