SurveyUSA Missouri Poll conducted 5/16-5/18 of 1523 LVs:
McCain 48%
Obama 45%
Clinton 48%
McCain 46%
Obama is moving in the right direction in this key bellwether, as SurveyUSA had him down double digits just a couple of month ago here. Obama wins 55%-41% among voters 18-29, while all other age groups back McCain. 20% of Democrats crossover for McCain, while only 12% of Democrats wouldvote for McCain if Clinton is the nominee. This brings me to a point I've noticed recently: Obama in most of these key states is not winning a very high percentage of Democrats, which is allowing McCain to be quite competitive. Now the argument made by Democrats is that once the primary is over, Obama will be able to get Democrats behind him more firmly and move into the lead in these states. But Obama's problem is more complicated than that: in virtually all of the key swing states, like FL, OH, PA, MO, and so on, a lot more Democrats back Clinton over McCain than back Obama over McCain. Her numbers among Democrats should be weak as well if the tough primary was the only thing holding back Obama's support among Democrats. Something to watch once Obama officially becomes the nominee.
1 comments:
McCains numbers [high] have me stumped. What is he doing right that I cannot see? Or is your electorate near-sighted? I am confused by these numbers. Or maybe the polls are just wrong. Also, if the number of people in america, owning cell phones, is as high as suggested - where do the pollsters find their people?
Post a Comment